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Oct 27, 2012
10/12
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CNN
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president obama a four point advantage over governor romney. in the fight for women voters, obama has a commanding lead in ohio but a lot can change of course between now and november 6th. the surprise is what john sununu told me last night is not going to go away. it could become a big problem for romney. sununu, a key romney surrogate, has put race and frankly, charges of racism front and center in the final days of the campaign when romney would have least wanted him to. let's get right to it. i asked him last night about former secretary of state colin powell's endorsement of president obama. this is what sununu said and why it's creating a political firestorm. final question. colin powell has decided to opt for president obama again despite apparently still being a republican. is it time he left the party, do you think? >> well, i'm not sure how important that is. i do like the fact that colin powell's boss, george herbert walker bush, has endorsed mitt romney all along, and frankly, when you take a look at colin powell, you have to wonder
president obama a four point advantage over governor romney. in the fight for women voters, obama has a commanding lead in ohio but a lot can change of course between now and november 6th. the surprise is what john sununu told me last night is not going to go away. it could become a big problem for romney. sununu, a key romney surrogate, has put race and frankly, charges of racism front and center in the final days of the campaign when romney would have least wanted him to. let's get right to...
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Oct 31, 2012
10/12
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WETA
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not every poll has obama winning in ohio. >> first if you look at the whole group of polls we have a two-point romney lead to a five or six-point obama lead, the average is going to do better a than any one poll individual think, polling is difficult now, because you can only get about ten percent of people on the money, polls are hoping that those people who they do get are representative of the ones whom they don't get, different views about who will turn out and who won't, about the, differ on the democrat grafnls and statistical uncertainty as well. >> depending on the model the poll uses will affect the result. >> a different hype these almost. >> .. if you assume a more vigorous turnout because obama has good ground game for example those have him winning, no more at that like opportunity thousand ten environment where republican enthusiasm prevail they have a very tight in ohio instead. >> rose: okay. but do you say when you look at all of these polls, i have noted you are a statistician, you noted in the polling you measure other polls? >> rightment. >> rose: do you measure t
not every poll has obama winning in ohio. >> first if you look at the whole group of polls we have a two-point romney lead to a five or six-point obama lead, the average is going to do better a than any one poll individual think, polling is difficult now, because you can only get about ten percent of people on the money, polls are hoping that those people who they do get are representative of the ones whom they don't get, different views about who will turn out and who won't, about the,...
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Nov 4, 2012
11/12
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FOXNEWS
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the state polls, the battle ground state polls suggest and indicate that president obama is ahead in nearly all of them but the national polls have a tie. it is striking to see this difference. it is sobering if you are a romney supporter to think he is trailing or tied in so many of the states. could the polls be wrong? they could. whether they are, we are wait dog find out. >>chris: you have been traveling the country if weeks and months, jeff, your sense of where this stands 48 hours out? >> much different in battle ground states because of the advertising. people in ohio and people in iowa, florida, and virginia, have a different sense of the race. the reason pennsylvania is in play because there has not been a lot of advertising. in the battleground states and i was in ohio and wisconsin and iowa and what you pick up, there is a real sense of enthusiasm for the romney campaign. i did not run into one republican party who is not happy about electing mitt romney opposed to someone to beat president obama. that is a significant change. on other side, the excitement and enthusiasm i
the state polls, the battle ground state polls suggest and indicate that president obama is ahead in nearly all of them but the national polls have a tie. it is striking to see this difference. it is sobering if you are a romney supporter to think he is trailing or tied in so many of the states. could the polls be wrong? they could. whether they are, we are wait dog find out. >>chris: you have been traveling the country if weeks and months, jeff, your sense of where this stands 48 hours...
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Nov 3, 2012
11/12
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FOXNEWS
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but a cnn poll has 50-48, obama. nevada, all the polls have the president lead bug it is close. same thing in wisconsin. president is ahead in all the polls except rasmussen, who has the race tied at 49. florida, all the policy out this week has obama leading romney, but very close. and in the commonwealth, up 5 points but cbs has the president up by two. north carolina, rasmussen has romney up by 6 and survey usa has the governor leading by 5. new hampshire, new england college has obama up by 6 over mitt romney. last week rasmussen had romney up by 2. and nbc has the president up by 6 points. got all that? joining us now from boston, david. he directs polling. >> he want to run it down from your point of view. you have canvassed the whole country, know what's going on. ohio, how do you see it? >> i see it really close. if you look at the last four polls, it's one point. 1 through 8 the poll was average four to five points. what we look at is the head-to-head number. the last three consecutive polls, excluding the two you mentioned were at 48. that's a sign of vulnerability. ob
but a cnn poll has 50-48, obama. nevada, all the polls have the president lead bug it is close. same thing in wisconsin. president is ahead in all the polls except rasmussen, who has the race tied at 49. florida, all the policy out this week has obama leading romney, but very close. and in the commonwealth, up 5 points but cbs has the president up by two. north carolina, rasmussen has romney up by 6 and survey usa has the governor leading by 5. new hampshire, new england college has obama up by...
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Nov 4, 2012
11/12
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WBFF
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the difference and margin this polls or obama is going to win. do you have any feelings about that. >> we are under such an avalanche of polling data now like we have never seen before, you can construct a quite plausible scenario for any of the three possibilities you mentioned and probably a couple of others. i think the conventional wisdom is trending towards and obama win, something along the lines of what karl rove and his team pulled off for president bush in 2004. but, i'm by no means certain and there is a striking discrepancy between national polls which tend to be done by and large by older, more seasoned polling firms and state polls, a number of which are done by less established firms, the national polls have it as a tie and the state polls, as it suggested, battle ground state polls, suggest and indicate that president obama is ahead in nearly all of them. it is -- seems striking that there would be this difference. and we don't know. but, it is sobering, if you are a romney supporter to think he is trailing or, just tied, in so man
the difference and margin this polls or obama is going to win. do you have any feelings about that. >> we are under such an avalanche of polling data now like we have never seen before, you can construct a quite plausible scenario for any of the three possibilities you mentioned and probably a couple of others. i think the conventional wisdom is trending towards and obama win, something along the lines of what karl rove and his team pulled off for president bush in 2004. but, i'm by no...
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president obama is polling better than romney in most of them, but well within the margins of error. that means all nine battlegrounds can go either way. election news out of battleground state of florida to tell you about. early voting technically ended yesterday, but the heavy turnout prompted officials in several counties to extend early voting. people were reportedly waiting in voting lines for up to seven hours in some counties. wow. president obama won florida in 2008, and today the state is just too close to call, as we've been seeing, all the battleground states. right here in ohio, the campaign spin is so fast, your head might just spin off your neck if you listen to hard. each camp, obama, romney insists they have the advantage in ohio. and candidates are zig-zagging across the states at a frantic pace. all ryan rally supporters in mansfield, ohio. vice president biden making two stops in ohio today. so that's where peter comes in. peter, it's a virtual deadlock in ohio with the clock winding down, and some say president obama might have a tiny sliver of advantage in ohio.
president obama is polling better than romney in most of them, but well within the margins of error. that means all nine battlegrounds can go either way. election news out of battleground state of florida to tell you about. early voting technically ended yesterday, but the heavy turnout prompted officials in several counties to extend early voting. people were reportedly waiting in voting lines for up to seven hours in some counties. wow. president obama won florida in 2008, and today the state...
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Oct 29, 2012
10/12
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KPIX
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53 obama, 25 mitt romney. and i think one thing that that reflects is that kind of peripheral but debates we've had during the course of the election about both rape and contraception. and so we recently had the senate candidate from indiana, richard murdoch, making some, i think, unfortunate remarks about how if a pregnancy results from rape the woman should continue it because that's god's intention. this points out the fundamental problem, i think, that the republican party has when it comes to dealing with abortion. they can have one of two positions. either the republican party platform position, which is no abortion in any casees, rape or incest, which is rejected as extreme. or you can have the mitt romney position in which allows for exceptions. in which case you say, but if abortion is the take of a human life, if the fetus is a person from the moment of conception, why is the method of conception matter? and i think the republicans are going to continue to get themselves tied up in this. >> sure, the
53 obama, 25 mitt romney. and i think one thing that that reflects is that kind of peripheral but debates we've had during the course of the election about both rape and contraception. and so we recently had the senate candidate from indiana, richard murdoch, making some, i think, unfortunate remarks about how if a pregnancy results from rape the woman should continue it because that's god's intention. this points out the fundamental problem, i think, that the republican party has when it comes...
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Oct 27, 2012
10/12
by
CNNW
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president obama holding a four-point lead in this new poll, slightly outside the margin of error and significantly right at the crucial 50% mark. so the question is, what is driving the numbers in ohio right now? chief national correspondent john king has some answers. >> well, anderson, that narrow ohio lead for the president is within the poll's sampling error but it is yet another poll showing the president with a small persistent lead in the state of ohio. let's take a closer look at why it is happening in this state that is so important in the pick for president. here's the main reason right here. governor romney gets the republicans. the president gets the democrats but at the moment, in our survey, the president has a narrow lead among ohio voters who define themselves as independents. that is the battleground in a big battleground state, if you win the independents you are likely to win. governor romney close but the president with an important edge among independent voters. there's also an age divide, if you look at likely voters in ohio. among voters under the age of 50, th
president obama holding a four-point lead in this new poll, slightly outside the margin of error and significantly right at the crucial 50% mark. so the question is, what is driving the numbers in ohio right now? chief national correspondent john king has some answers. >> well, anderson, that narrow ohio lead for the president is within the poll's sampling error but it is yet another poll showing the president with a small persistent lead in the state of ohio. let's take a closer look at...
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Nov 3, 2012
11/12
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CSPAN2
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point spread was in our favor, but it's in in the 2008 election was in obama's favor? >> i don't remember that exact column. >> i remember them all. >> better than i do apparently. [laughter] >> ann, in light of yesterday's oral arguments of the supreme court, university of texas case. what do you think is the possibility and probability of ending affirmative action in education? >> well, i hope very good. my law firm brought the case gebs the -- against the university of michigan and law school. we brought that original case ten years ago, won against the law school, lost against undergrads because of sandra day o'connor who says we need 25 more years of affirmative action. now we have constitutional provisions with expiration dates. [laughter] there's -- there's -- an interesting book called "mismatched" by two liberals making the argument with empirical evidence that affirmative action is harmful to black people. what a surprise. liberals try to help, ruin black people's lives. that's the story of the book. their argument is by if it's a little bit of affirmative ac
point spread was in our favor, but it's in in the 2008 election was in obama's favor? >> i don't remember that exact column. >> i remember them all. >> better than i do apparently. [laughter] >> ann, in light of yesterday's oral arguments of the supreme court, university of texas case. what do you think is the possibility and probability of ending affirmative action in education? >> well, i hope very good. my law firm brought the case gebs the -- against the...
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Oct 27, 2012
10/12
by
FOXNEWS
tv
eye 145
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recent and good polling shows romney two or three ahead . pennsylvania 20 votes where it shows mitt romney three ahead and ohio 18. tied . wisconsin 10, tied and michigan 15. they are tided. and minnesota 16 and obama is ahead by three . nevada 9. obama ahead by two. and iowa 6 they are tied. he's going to win at least 15 votes from the states and probably more like 45 or 50. and i think romney is on track to a significant victory and i think when we look back at this we will wonder why we thought it was so close. >> when it comes to women voters romney closed the gap particularly after his debate. women will tell you the economy is the top concern. yesterday's numbers showing a slight rise in the gdp and final unemployment report that comes out before the election. could it have an impact if it shows improvement as well? >> first of all 2.0 percent is enemic and border line recession . i do expect the job numbers to show a huge improvement on friday. it is called bls. and drop the l for the preelection data that is coming out. i don't think
recent and good polling shows romney two or three ahead . pennsylvania 20 votes where it shows mitt romney three ahead and ohio 18. tied . wisconsin 10, tied and michigan 15. they are tided. and minnesota 16 and obama is ahead by three . nevada 9. obama ahead by two. and iowa 6 they are tied. he's going to win at least 15 votes from the states and probably more like 45 or 50. and i think romney is on track to a significant victory and i think when we look back at this we will wonder why we...
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147
Nov 3, 2012
11/12
by
FOXNEWSW
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eye 147
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look at the polls in ohio, today barack obama is almost exactly where george w. bush was in the polls in ohio 8 years ago. look at the job approval ratings, barack obama's job approval rating is almost exactly where george w. bush's approval rating is. the only thing looking better for romney at this point is obama is worse off in the polls. george w. bush had a 1.5 percentage-point lead going into election day and right now it is even. >> greta: rick what is the best thing politically that governor romney is looking at right now, when looks at this and what is the best thing politically president obama is looking at when they look at what is winding down between now and tuesday? >> romney looks at the number among independents and also looks at the possibility of building this national lead and i think closing on the economy. closing with what works for him in terms of making the argument he is the candidate of change. he has to hope for a big weekend to turn things around a little bit in terms of the close and i think president obama has to feel good about how
look at the polls in ohio, today barack obama is almost exactly where george w. bush was in the polls in ohio 8 years ago. look at the job approval ratings, barack obama's job approval rating is almost exactly where george w. bush's approval rating is. the only thing looking better for romney at this point is obama is worse off in the polls. george w. bush had a 1.5 percentage-point lead going into election day and right now it is even. >> greta: rick what is the best thing politically...
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Nov 2, 2012
11/12
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FOXNEWS
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rec" >> greta: the candidates make egg mad dash for the swing state, polls showing president obama with a razor-thing thin lead. but good news for governor romney. joining me is our panel. first, rick, the good news for the governor is with independents? >> independents. you look throughout the polls, dismacial state-level poll, governor romney is winning independent, sometimes by a lot. this is interesting for a couple of reasons, president obama won independents widely four years ago. john kerry won among independents 8 years ago in the battleground states. so this is a big reversal. can the president lose independents that badly and still win? there is a good chance that the independents look different. a lot of them are probably republicans, calling themselves independents because they are disaffected with the party and they are tea partyers. but it is a major shift to see independents, people who call themselves independents not going for president obama. you ask the romney folks and they say, this is a sign of weakness. this says our guy is very much in the mix, despite the battle
rec" >> greta: the candidates make egg mad dash for the swing state, polls showing president obama with a razor-thing thin lead. but good news for governor romney. joining me is our panel. first, rick, the good news for the governor is with independents? >> independents. you look throughout the polls, dismacial state-level poll, governor romney is winning independent, sometimes by a lot. this is interesting for a couple of reasons, president obama won independents widely four...
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143
Nov 2, 2012
11/12
by
MSNBC
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first heeshgsz a look at real clear politics national average of the presidential polls. president obama is at 47.5%, governor romney stands at 47%. ♪ ♪ [ female announcer ] pop in a whole new kind of clean. with tide pods. a powerful three-in-one detergent that cleans. brightens. and fights stains just one removes more stains than the 6 next leading pacs combined pop in. stand out. campbell's has 24 new soups that will make it drop over, and over again. ♪ from jammin' jerk chicken, to creamy gouda bisque. see what's new from campbell's. it's amazing what soup can do. welcome back to the postscript. the only thing people are talking about this week is hurricane sandy from the loss of life and the impact a storm could have on this presidential election. >> i am not worried at this point about the impact on the election. i'm worried about the impact on families and i'm worried about the impact on first responders. >> a lot of people hurting this morning and hurting last night. the storm goes on. i appreciate the fact that people in dayton got up this morning, some wen
first heeshgsz a look at real clear politics national average of the presidential polls. president obama is at 47.5%, governor romney stands at 47%. ♪ ♪ [ female announcer ] pop in a whole new kind of clean. with tide pods. a powerful three-in-one detergent that cleans. brightens. and fights stains just one removes more stains than the 6 next leading pacs combined pop in. stand out. campbell's has 24 new soups that will make it drop over, and over again. ♪ from jammin' jerk chicken, to...